Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 0.187068 0.220317 0.257460 0.301987 0.353879 0.412407 0.483394
2025-09-21 0.134984 0.177037 0.228976 0.297678 0.386005 0.495574 0.641650
2025-09-28 0.106388 0.151223 0.210894 0.295788 0.413097 0.569087 0.791830
2025-10-05 0.092523 0.140458 0.208263 0.310598 0.460487 0.671228 0.989124
2025-10-12 0.083359 0.133979 0.209453 0.329312 0.513856 0.785974 1.216080
2025-10-19 0.073917 0.125122 0.205198 0.338343 0.552758 0.882697 1.426398
2025-10-26 0.064574 0.114700 0.196630 0.338766 0.577321 0.959052 1.612571
2025-11-02 0.055047 0.102351 0.182975 0.328567 0.582619 1.004351 1.752604
2025-11-09 0.046336 0.090006 0.167470 0.312800 0.575930 1.028170 1.858062
2025-11-16 0.041347 0.083626 0.161435 0.312625 0.595789 1.098157 2.048818
2025-11-23 0.035996 0.075729 0.151524 0.303905 0.598811 1.138305 2.189935
2025-11-30 0.033043 0.072103 0.149124 0.308917 0.627637 1.227341 2.428515
2025-12-07 0.029663 0.067349 0.144383 0.309737 0.650471 1.311334 2.674220
2025-12-14 0.026128 0.061752 0.137258 0.304978 0.662059 1.375954 2.891741
2025-12-21 0.023329 0.057305 0.131868 0.303010 0.678922 1.452491 3.141120
2025-12-28 0.022221 0.056543 0.134295 0.318164 0.733637 1.611292 3.575752
2026-01-04 0.021471 0.056505 0.138306 0.337316 0.799241 1.799489 4.091976
2026-01-11 0.020102 0.054719 0.138034 0.346558 0.843716 1.947139 4.536317
2026-01-18 0.018338 0.051639 0.134258 0.346991 0.867932 2.052883 4.899186
2026-01-25 0.016182 0.047169 0.126453 0.336554 0.865156 2.097702 5.128949
2026-02-01 0.014012 0.042286 0.116903 0.320417 0.846479 2.103807 5.269457
2026-02-08 0.012838 0.039999 0.113740 0.320238 0.867358 2.204811 5.644902
2026-02-15 0.011421 0.036762 0.107587 0.311314 0.864810 2.249128 5.887656